Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001033 1.179647e-03 0.001329 0.001491 0.001662 0.001836 0.002026
2025-03-23 0.000853 1.065212e-03 0.001289 0.001541 0.001813 0.002096 0.002412
2025-03-30 0.000682 9.383706e-04 0.001219 0.001544 0.001904 0.002287 0.002720
2025-04-06 0.000564 8.556187e-04 0.001187 0.001580 0.002025 0.002506 0.003058
2025-04-13 0.000489 8.124507e-04 0.001193 0.001655 0.002186 0.002766 0.003438
2025-04-20 0.000357 6.848322e-04 0.001089 0.001594 0.002188 0.002846 0.003618
2025-04-27 0.000247 5.667729e-04 0.000985 0.001525 0.002173 0.002903 0.003767
2025-05-04 0.000201 5.307356e-04 0.000979 0.001571 0.002289 0.003105 0.004078
2025-05-11 0.000125 4.325244e-04 0.000884 0.001499 0.002262 0.003140 0.004197
2025-05-18 0.000062 3.354070e-04 0.000778 0.001408 0.002206 0.003136 0.004268
2025-05-25 0.000030 2.781470e-04 0.000722 0.001375 0.002216 0.003209 0.004424
2025-06-01 0.000006 2.109941e-04 0.000641 0.001304 0.002176 0.003218 0.004504
2025-06-08 NaN 1.560301e-04 0.000583 0.001277 0.002213 0.003345 0.004755
2025-06-15 NaN 1.355274e-04 0.000582 0.001330 0.002355 0.003603 0.005164
2025-06-22 NaN 1.025667e-04 0.000550 0.001338 0.002438 0.003791 0.005494
2025-06-29 NaN 8.250513e-05 0.000538 0.001375 0.002560 0.004027 0.005882
2025-07-06 NaN 7.374593e-05 0.000550 0.001447 0.002728 0.004321 0.006339
2025-07-13 NaN 3.894446e-05 0.000483 0.001392 0.002723 0.004400 0.006540
2025-07-20 NaN 1.390036e-05 0.000416 0.001328 0.002703 0.004456 0.006711
2025-07-27 NaN 8.556168e-06 0.000414 0.001372 0.002829 0.004696 0.007103
2025-08-03 NaN 4.851793e-08 0.000351 0.001305 0.002798 0.004736 0.007252
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000284 0.001219 0.002737 0.004734 0.007346
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000248 0.001189 0.002751 0.004826 0.007556